The major launch service providers are confronting a market going through major changes and at the same time are all debuting new rockets. Arianespace is preparing the transition from Ariane 5 to Ariane 6, to be operated alongside the light-lift Vega C. SpaceX is preparing its enormous Starship rocket and continues to operate the Falcon 9. MHI’s H3 vehicle is being developed to succeed the H2. China Great Wall is operating several vehicles, with the Long March 7 to be operated with the smaller Long March 6.
▪ How do these companies view the transition to the new vehicles, and how do they view the commercial market?
▪ Are they preparing for large LEO constellations to reduce demand for GEO-orbit telecommunications satellites in the coming years?
▪ Do their business plans assume that government business will have a larger role in the future compared to recent years?
▪ And what is their response to the large number of small vehicles that have found private-sector financing?
▪ Are these new smallsat launchers a competitive threat to a part of the business of the established commercial launch providers?